Dec. 21, 2014 (San Diego) Last week Proceso had a bombshell. According to Proceso the official story is not just a sham, but things are worst. It is not just that the government refused to help the students, or the local clinics refused to offer medical care, or that the local police turned the students over to the Guerreros Unidos. Nope, it was not just the Mayor of Iguala, or the Chiefs of Municipal Police Departments. That be bad enough. The Federal Government knew about the events in real time, and likely was a participant.
Proceso writes “According to the información obtained by Proceso, at the Normal in Ayotzinapa, the attack and disappearance of the students was directed to the ideological estructure of the school, and the self government of the institution, since of the 43 students who went missing, one was a leader in the Committee for the Struggle, the self government of the school. 10 were activists under development, from the Committee of political and ideological formation (COPI for it’s initials in Spanish.”
This means this was a political hit. They were targeted because these young men and women, at a Rural School, are perceived to be a direct threat tot the state.
This gets much worst. According to the report, the C4 center, which translates to Emergency Communications and Control, knew of the location of the students second by second. They were, according to Processo targeted. The official story has collapsed if they even got some of this right. What does this mean? Well, some of the reactions in Guerrero have been swift. Local populations in the Costa Chica (small coast), which is where a lot of the guerrilla movements have emerged in the past, have demanded the army leave. They see them as a destabilizing force who cannot be trusted. This goes against the government view that the army is the most trusted agency in Mexico.
This does not end in Guerrero. In the state of Michoacan, which has been in a low intensity civil war for now over a decade, there was a shootout in the Ruana municipality. If you have never heard of Hipolitio Mora, it is time you do. He was the leader of the Autodefensas de Michoacan, a group of civilians, that just like Guerrero State, took up arms to defend themselves against the Narcos, and the state. He was arrested last year and accused of murder. A judge released him due to lack of evidence, but he was ordered to leave the autodenfensas; which he did. Yet the government has formed a group of rural police to in theory patrol and bring the cartels to heel.
To nobody’s surprise, these rurales have been extremely ineffective. Last week there was a shoot out at La Rauna, one of the fallen was his son. Mora has called from nothing short than revolution.
What is going in Mexico is nothing short than the beginnings of a revolution and the end of trust to institutions. This slide started under the government of Felipe Calderon Hinojosa. His election to the Presidency was not clean and there were many rumors that the election was stolen from Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, who ran under the Partido Revolucionario Democratico plank. John M. Ackerman has compared his reaction to the legitimacy problems that George W Bush had after he was elected in 2000. Both men used the military option as a distraction from their own problems.
There is quite a bit of truth insofar as Calderon declared war against the cartels sending Mexico into a tailspin of insecurity. Then there are the Merida accords that allowed the US to send military aid to Mexico as well as advisers. None of these advisers have been very open due to a well trodden history of distrust going back to the war of 1847. This said, the advisors did not start with Calderon. They just increased by orders of magnitude. The Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) has been operational in Mexico for decades.
Many have forgotten about Enrique Camarena Salazar who was taken prisoner, tortured and killed by the cartels in 1985. This was done by the Guadalajara Cartel. The case these days has mostly been forgotten, but it does foreshadow the relationship of the Mexican Government with the narcos, as well as the use this has for the US Government. Back then it was a way to finance the Contras. It was one of many ways the Reagan administration carried out the war against the Sandinistas in Nicaragua.
These days the relationship between the Mexican government and the cartels has become more clear with the Ayotzinapa case. The official story is starting to unravel, and the dirty war is accelerating pace. It is not just a war against the poor, while these are the main victims so far. It is a war against democracy which is a threat to the stability needed for international investors.
The eyes of the world are on Mexico. The question is how will the government react as it feels increasingly under siege, as the official story unravels?
Nadin Abbott has a masters degree in Mexican History from San Diego State University.
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