Nov 7, 2016 (NORTH COUNTY) San Diego is now in the national spotlight. When Colonel Doug Applegate polled high in the June Primary against incumbent Darrell Issa we knew we had a real race. Over the last few weeks the race has turned quite nasty, with adds run by Issa portraying Applegate as all but a nice person.
On the other hand, we believe the Democrats think they can win the seat, for the first time in 16 years. The district has changed. It is not as deep red as it once was. But also Issa supported Donald Trump. There is this effect in down ticket races, that might play a role. We knew Democrats poured in cash, since there were many adds run by the national party.
San Diego, and the rest of the country, will watch. This potentially could mean that Duncan Hunter, who represents east county communities, will be the only Republican remaining in San Diego’s delegation to Washington, assuming Scott Peters wins as well. His district, the 52, is also a closely contested district. In fact, it is one of the few that is contested every cycle due to district demographics. That said, this year the Republican Party did not invest heavily in this race. Two years ago, former Speaker of the House John Boehener came to San Diego to try to get Carl DeMaio that seat.
We are expecting a long night with the Issa-Applegate race. We expect it to be close. There is more, if you intend to follow the race, you need to follow both the San Diego County Registrar and Orange County. That district straddles both counties. So yes, expect to have coffee brewed up. We intend to.